Red Ventures

When "Hypothetical" Was a Live Marketplace.

Group AI Product Manager, Consumer, on the marketplace team in Red Ventures' Home Client Services division. Two rounds and a take-home. The take-home was a "Choose Texas Power" case study with the words "this is a hypothetical case for the purpose of evaluation" at the top. Choose Texas Power is one of their actual brands. The case described their actual marketplace, their actual REP partners, and their actual emerging tensions. I wrote the recommendation. Then I wrote the letter asking them not to use it.

Recruiter screen + HM round + take-home 2 to 3 hours of work Did not advance

01Context

02The prompt

The take-home arrived the morning after the hiring manager round. The opening line on the brief reads: "This is a hypothetical case for the purpose of evaluation." The next two pages describe the actual Choose Texas Power marketplace, the actual REP (Retail Electricity Provider) partner ecosystem, and the actual tensions Red Ventures was navigating as the experience evolved.

Three tensions named in the brief:

  1. REP incentives vs. customer fit. REPs make more money when customers pay higher effective rates. Plans that fit customers better are sometimes less profitable for REPs. As matching becomes more customer-centric, partners push back.
  2. Partner mix shifts. The new ranking approach is changing which REPs receive orders. Winners and losers create negotiation pressure.
  3. Explainability vs. breakage. More data collection and education improves understanding but increases drop-off. Less explanation increases speed but produces dissatisfaction. The experience is "only slightly contribution-margin positive."

The task: "You are the product lead on this marketplace experience. Recommend ONE focused change you would make in the next quarter to improve the long-term health of the marketplace." Two pages max. Cover problem framing, recommendation, trade-offs, success metrics. Quality of reasoning over completeness.

The full brief is below and downloadable.

Open the brief in a new tab โ†—

03The process

Treat the brief as the brief, not as the test

Two-pages-max with quality-of-reasoning over completeness is a real constraint. I built the recommendation around one specific bet, defended it explicitly, and accepted what I'd left out. No hedging across multiple ideas. No appendix.

Reframe the three tensions to one root

The brief lists REP incentives, partner mix shifts, and explainability vs. breakage as separate tensions. I argued they share a root: customers converting without confidence creates downstream problems for everyone. Trust is the leverage point. If customers trust the match, they stay longer. If they stay longer, REP longevity payouts work as designed. If those work, partner tension softens. That's the spine of the recommendation.

Borrow from real, lived experience

I'd worked at HVAC.com for nearly two years and went through its acquisition by Trane. Same dynamics: a confusing product category, consumers who need directional guidance, and what we called the Inequitable Power Dynamic, where the person you're seeking help from knows far more than you do. Building trust isn't optional in those environments.

The submission cites specific HVAC.com numbers. I inherited a 2M-annual-visitor site at 0.1% conversion. Interactive calculators that delivered clarity (repair or replace, system sizing, energy savings) peaked at ~7.3% conversion. That's a 50x lift from baseline. QuoteScore, the same value-first-commitment-second pattern applied to contractor quotes, was sunset after the Trane acquisition because scoring competitor brands' quotes was deemed anticompetitive. Trane's System Recommender Tool, which I helped inform, lives in NC, SC, FL, GA, TX, and AZ today and is rolling out nationwide.

Pick one recommendation. Defend it.

The recommendation: make the AI's reasoning legible by showing customers the estimated actual monthly cost and the specific usage assumptions that make the matched plan a fit. Not more explanation. Better explanation, scoped to deliver an "aha moment" that earns the next step.

Trade-offs were named explicitly. Optimizing for trust and retention, accepting that short-term order volume might dip, accepting that REP differentiation beyond price isn't addressed in this iteration. Three primary metrics: order conversion (modest lift or hold expected, not a spike), 90-day retention (the metric that matters most), REP longevity-bonus payouts (the lagging indicator that aligns partner incentives). A specific kill-switch: if conversion drops more than 10% without a corresponding lift in retention within 90 days, revisit the presentation of the explanation, not the principle.

Tools used

04The deliverable

Two-page PDF, embedded below and downloadable. The full submission as I sent it.

Open the submission in a new tab โ†—

05How it went

The hiring manager round had been good. We'd talked about voice agents, agent-assist tooling, agentic workflows in deregulated energy sales, and how to measure AI applications in funnels. The HM had himself surfaced the connection between the work he was describing and HVAC.com. I followed up that night with a thank-you email I felt good about. The next morning, the recruiter wrote that the team wanted to move forward and sent the take-home.

I asked for and received a deadline extension to Monday end of day. I submitted Monday morning. The rejection arrived the following day at 10:59 AM.

I sat with that for a few hours. Then I wrote back.

The recruiter wrote back the next afternoon.

What that exchange actually establishes

Two things on record now. First: the challenges in the case were real challenges (the recruiter confirms it). The "hypothetical" framing on the brief was procedural cover, not an accurate description of the case. Second: in writing, my work is treated as confidential and will not be used for any Red Ventures benefit. That commitment is on file.

06What I'd do differently

Nothing about the work itself, and nothing about the letter. The submission is good. I stand by every section of it. I'd write the do-not-use letter again, the same way, in the same tone, the same afternoon. The takeaway here is for hiring teams, not for me.

Where the work has changed how I'd handle the next one. Before accepting a take-home that uses a "hypothetical" case, I'd ask one question in writing: "Is this scenario abstracted from your actual products, brands, or partners, or does it map to a current internal problem?" That question is fair, easy to answer, and reorients the dynamic. If the answer is "it maps to a current problem, but rest assured your work won't be used," then ask for that commitment in writing before submitting. Most companies will give it. Some won't. That itself is information.

Where I'd push hiring teams to change. Three things, in order of how much they'd cost a company to do.

And the bigger lesson, for myself. A high-quality take-home submission for an actual brand whose challenges are real is exactly the kind of work that, in a healthier dynamic, would have been the start of a working session. That's not how it played out, and that's fine. But if you find yourself doing your best strategic thinking for a company that's about to ghost you on it, the right move is to name that and document it. Quietly accepting the asymmetry doesn't change the asymmetry.

07Downloads

The brief and my submission. Both PDFs. The submission is the same one I sent to the recruiter; nothing's been edited.